丹麦工业大学M.H.Faber院士讲学通知
时间:2015-11-17 0:16:07   阅读:   标签: 丹麦工业大学 讲学 土木工程学院 M.H.Faber
应我校土木工程学院吕大刚教授的邀请,丹麦工业大学土木工程系系主任Michael Havbro Faber (-Nielsen)院士将于1117日至20日来我院访问,并开设名称为“Risk Informed Decision Making”的系列讲座,具体信息如下:
Date
Time
Topic
Place
11.18
Wednesday
1400-1500
Decision analysis in engineering
RM 502
1500-1530
CoffeeBreak
1530-1630
Systems Risk Modeling, Vulnerability, Robustness and Resilience
RM 502
11.19
Thursday
1400-1500
The new version and contents of ISO2394
RM 502
1500-1530
Coffee Break
1530-1630
Risk assessment and risk-informed decision-making related to life safety
RM 502
欢迎感兴趣的师生参加!
 
专家简介
 
迈克尔·哈佛波·菲波尔尼尔森(Michael Havbro Faber-Nielsen)院士现任丹麦工业大学(Technical University of Denmark, DTU)土木工程系主任,我校土木工程学院工程力学专业境外兼职博士生导师,曾任瑞士苏黎世联邦工业大学(Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich, ETH Zurich)结构工程系“风险与安全”研究中心主任。Faber教授目前担任土木工程风险与可靠性联合会(Civil Engineering Risk and Reliability Association, CERRA)主席、“世界经济论坛”全球巨灾风险顾问委员会委员,是国际标准《结构可靠性通则》(ISO2394Principles of Reliability of Structures)第二版主编,曾担任结构安全性联合委员会(Joint Committee on Structure and Safety, JCSS)主席(2006-2011)IFIP WG7.5主席(2010-2012),是国际工程决策论坛(International Forum On Engineering Decision Making, IFED)的创始人,是Probabilistic Engineering Mechanics, Structural Safety, Journal of Computer-Aided Civil and Infrastructure Engineering, GeoRisk Journal, ASCE Journal of Engineering Structures等众多顶级期刊的编委,2013年当选为丹麦工程院(Danish Academy of Technical Sciences)院士。
Faber教授是国际结构安全度研究领域的权威专家,一直致力于重大工程结构的安全性与鲁棒性研究,在不确定性影响下的结构风险分析及决策以及结构安全性和鲁棒性分析等一系列国际前沿研究领域有着良好的研究基础,取得了大批具有国际先进水平的研究成果,其带领的“风险与安全”科研团队具有世界声誉,培养了大批优秀的博士生和创新科技人才。
在过去的五年中,Faber教授共发表顶级期刊论文33篇,顶级会议论文28篇,撰写专著和章节5部(篇),在国际会议上宣读邀请报告30余次。Google学术H指数(H-index)26
讲座简介
Lectures on Risk Informed Decision Making
M H Faber, HIT, November 18-19, 2015.
 
Probabilistic engineering modeling, modern reliability theory and risk assessments have gained significant importance in engineering over the last half century. In civil engineering, as well as in several other engineering fields including offshore and aeronautical engineering, the formal and systematic appraisal of uncertainties in the modeling and assessment of performance characteristics of structures, and systems involving structures, is by now considered fundamental.
 
What is not always fully appreciated, however, is the significance and role of probabilistic modeling, reliability theory and risk assessments in the context of decision making; in fact, decision support comprises their sole purpose and justification.
With the aim of providing background understanding, overview of present best practices as well as appreciation of forefront research directions concerning risk informed decision making four lectures are presented with the following titles:
 
1. Decision analysis in engineering
2. Systems Risk Modeling, Vulnerability, Robustness and Resilience
3. The new version and contents of ISO2394
4. Risk assessment and risk-informed decision-making related to life safety
 
Each of the lectures will have a duration of approximately 45-50 minutes followed by 10-15 minutes for questions and discussions.
 
Lecture 1 introduces first the basic constituents of Bayesian decision analysis, i.e. the prior, posterior and pre-posterior decision analysis. Thereafter focus will be directed on decision making in engineering in a broader perspective and an overview is provided indicating the relevance of managing different risks in society, how risk is interrelated with sustainability and how risks and decision problems may be categorized.
 
Lecture 2 addresses risk assessment of systems, following the approach introduced by the Joint Committee on Structural Safety. Emphasis is directed on providing a generic and holistic formulation of the systems considered encompassing the relevant interdependencies and interactions between technical constituents, humans and organizations as well as the environment over time and space. New results on the quantification of robustness of Daniels systems will be presented and a framework for the quantification of resilience is outlined.
 
Lecture 3 presents the new revision of ISO 2394 “General Principles on Reliability for Structures”. This new revision builds on the most recent developments in risk informed decision making and utilizes this for enhancing decisions on design and assessment of structures. Special attention will be directed on how risk informed decision making may be utilized in the context of ensuring sufficient structural robustness and how the principle of the marginal life saving costs is utilized for the purpose of management of life safety risks.
 
Lecture 4 is focusing on the societal management of life safety risks, starting with more fundamental considerations on prerequisites for the regulation of life safety risks, over considerations of basic human rights and equity to the more practical issues of how life safety risks may be managed and monitored. New insights are presented concerning the distribution of life safety risk in the time space domain, it is shown that temporal activities in life safety risk management is a misconception and a new consistent metric is introduced for the comparison of life safety risk across different activities in society.
发布:戎芹 |  审核:关新春 |  来源: 土木学院